2024 United States presidential election in Ohio
The 2024 United States presidential election in Ohio is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Ohio voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Ohio has 17 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.
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| Elections in Ohio |
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A heavily-populated Midwestern state partly within the Rust Belt, Ohio has been considered a vital bellwether state for decades and has been decided by single digits at the presidential level since 1992, but has been trending towards the political right in recent years. The state voted significantly more Republican than the U.S. at-large when Donald Trump carried the state by just over 8 points in the past two elections despite polls showing a tight race in both cycles, especially 2020, in which the state backed the losing presidential candidate for the first time in 60 years. The GOP's overwhelming success in Ohio during the 2022 midterms has further testified to the state's rightward shift and the possible death of its bellwether and swing-state distinctions. Today a slightly to moderately red state, Ohio is expected to be less heavily contested in 2024 than in the past several presidential election cycles, with major news organizations predicting the state to lean towards the GOP candidate (presumably Trump).
The election will be held concurrently with a U.S. Senate race in Ohio which, despite the state's current Republican lean, is expected to be competitive, among other state and local elections.
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term. If he wins without the state again, he will become the first president since Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1944 to win another term without carrying the state. If he loses Ohio by double digits, he will be the first presidential candidate to do so since fellow Democrat Michael Dukakis in 1988.