2012–2013 escalation of the Syrian civil war

The 2012–2013 escalation of the Syrian Civil War refers to the third phase of the Syrian Civil War, which gradually escalated from a UN-mediated cease fire attempt during April–May 2012 and deteriorated into radical violence, escalating the conflict level to a full-fledged civil war.

2012–2013 escalation of the Syrian Civil War
Part of the Syrian Civil War

For a war map of the current situation, see here.
Date21 April 2012 (2012-04-21) – 31 December 2013 (2013-12-31)
(1 year, 8 months, 1 week and 3 days)
Location
Syrian territories, with minor spillovers in neighboring countries
Result Indecisive
Belligerents

Ba'athist Syria:

  • Syrian Armed Forces
  • National Defense Force
    • Shabiha
    • Jaysh al-Sha'bi
  • Al-Abbas brigade

 Iran

Allied armed groups:

 Syrian opposition

Supported by:
  •  Qatar
  •  Saudi Arabia
  •  Turkey
  •  United States

Al-Qaeda and allies:[b]

Islamic State of Iraq (until 7 April 2013)

Islamic State of Iraq and Levant (from 7 April 2013)

Rojava
(DBK & TEV-DEM)

  • People's Protection Units (YPG)
  • Women's Protection Units (YPJ)
  • Asayish
  • Syriac Military Council (MFS)
  • Sutoro

Allied armed groups:

Supported by:
 Iraqi Kurdistan
Commanders and leaders

Bashar al-Assad
(Commander in Chief)
Maher al-Assad (WIA)
Fahd Jassem al-Freij
Dawoud Rajiha 
Assef Shawkat 
Ali Abdullah Ayyoub
Issam Hallaq
Ghassan Ismail

Mohammad al-Shaar (WIA)

Free Syrian Army

  • Salim Idris
  • Mustafa al-Sheikh
  • Riad al-Asaad (WIA)

Ziad Haj Obaid


Islamic Front


Al-Qaeda

Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi

Salih Muslim Muhammad
Sîpan Hemo (YPG)
Alaa Ajabu (Kurdish Front)

Humaydi Daham al-Hadi (Army of Dignity)
Strength

Syrian Armed Forces: 178,000(by Aug 2013)
General Security Directorate: 8,000
Shabiha: 10,000 fighters
National Defense Force: 60,000 soldiers
Jaysh al-Sha'bi: 50,000 fighters
al-Abbas brigade: 10,000 fighters
Hezbollah: 3,000–5,000 fighters
Iran: 150–1,500 IRGC

Asa'ib Ahl al-Haq: 1,000 fighters

Free Syrian Army: 40,000 – 50,000 Islamic Front: 45,000 – 60,000
Ahfad al-Rasul Brigades: 7,000–9,000


Al-Nusra Front: 5,000–7,000

Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant: 3,000–5,000
People's Protection Units (YPG): 15,000 – 35,000
Casualties and losses

Syrian government 15,000–31,174 soldiers and policemen killed
19,256 militiamen killed
1,000 government officials killed
5,000 soldiers and militiamen captured
Hezbollah
232–250 killed
Other non-Syrian Shiite fighters
265 killed

  • Iranian IRGC
    16 killed

27,746–50,930 fighters killed[c] 979 protesters killed

16,000–46,601 opposition fighters and supporters captured
265+ fighters killed
120,000 killed overall (September 2013 French estimate)

91,875–125,835 deaths documented by opposition groups December 2013**
165,835 killed overall (December 2013 SOHR estimate)[d]
760–1,806 foreign civilians killed


16 Iraqi soldiers killed
5 Lebanese soldiers killed
3 Turkish servicemen killed
1 Jordanian soldier killed


4.5 million (UN, Sep 2013) – 5.1 million (iDMC, Sep 2013) internally displaced
3,000,000 refugees (by November 2013)

130,000 missing or detained

a Also part of the FSA, but opposes ISIL & al-Nusra.
b The al-Nusra Front and ISIL cooperated with various other rebel groups during this time, while fighting other groups.
c Number possibly higher due to the opposition counting rebels that were not defectors as civilians.

d Number includes foreign fighters from both sides, as well as foreign civilians

Following the Houla massacre of 25 May 2012, in which 108 people were summarily executed, and the subsequent Free Syrian Army (FSA) ultimatum to the Syrian Ba'athist government, the ceasefire practically collapsed as the FSA began nationwide offensives against government troops. On 1 June 2012, President Bashar al-Assad vowed to crush the anti-government uprising. On 12 June 2012, the UN for the first time officially proclaimed Syria to be in a state of civil war. The conflict began moving into the two largest cities, Aleppo and Damascus.

Following the failure of another ceasefire in October 2012, during the winter of 2012–2013 and early spring of 2013 the rebels continued advances on all fronts. In mid-December 2012, American officials said that the Syrian military began firing Scud ballistic missiles at rebel positions in Syria. On 11 January 2013, Islamist groups, including the al-Nusra Front, took full control of the Taftanaz air base in the Idlib Governorate, after weeks of fighting. In mid-January 2013, as clashes re-erupted between rebels and Kurdish forces in Ras al-Ayn, YPG forces moved to expel government forces from oil-rich areas in the Hasakah Governorate. By 6 March 2013, the rebels had captured the city of Raqqa, making it the first provincial capital to be lost by the Assad government. In early April 2013, having expanded into Syria, one of the strongest jihadist insurgent groups, the Islamic State of Iraq, adopted the new name ad-Dawlah al-Islāmiyah fī 'l-ʿIrāq wa-sh-Shām (الدولة الإسلامية في العراق والشام), variously translated as "Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham", "Islamic State of Iraq and Syria" (both abbreviated as ISIS), or "Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant" (abbreviated as ISIL).

The rebel advances were finally stopped in April 2013, as the Syrian Arab Army reorganized and then initiated offensives. On 17 April 2013, government forces breached a six-month rebel blockade on the Wadi Deif base near Idlib. Heavy fighting was reported around the town of Babuleen after government troops attempt to secure control of a main highway leading to Aleppo. The break in the siege also allowed government forces to resupply two major military bases in the region which had been relying on sporadic airdrops. In April 2013, government and Hezbollah forces, who have increasingly become involved in the fighting, launched an offensive to capture areas near al-Qusayr. On 21 April, pro-Assad forces captured the towns of Burhaniya, Saqraja and al-Radwaniya near the Lebanon–Syria border.

From July 2013, the situation became a stalemate, with fighting continuing on all fronts between various factions with numerous casualties, but without major territorial changes. On 28 June 2013, rebel forces captured a major military checkpoint in the southern city of Daraa. Shortly after, some Syrian rebel groups declared war on the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant which was becoming increasingly dominant. A major advance took place on 6 August 2013, as rebels and ISIL captured Menagh Military Airbase after a 10-month siege. On 21 August a chemical attack took place in the Ghouta region of the Damascus countryside, leading to thousands of casualties and several hundred dead in the opposition-held stronghold. The attack was followed by a military offensive by government forces into the area. The attack, largely attributed to Assad forces, caused the international community to seek the chemical disarmament of the Syrian Army.

Late 2013 was marked by increased initiative on the part of the Syrian Army, which led offensives against opposition groups on several fronts. The Syrian Army along with its allies, Hezbollah and the al-Abas brigade, launched an offensive on Damascus and Aleppo in November. Fighting between Kurdish forces, rebels and al-Nusra front continued in other locations.

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